Home | Comment & Analysis    Tuesday 23 July 2013

Sacking Riek Machar is not politically prudent

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By Mapuor Malual Manguen

July 22, 2013 - Speculation is rife in the country that President Salva Kiir Mayardit may sack his Deputy and main political rival Dr. Riek Machar Teny. Machar who has been Vice President since 2005 and has openly expressed interest to vie for the seat of the ruling Sudan Peoples’ Liberation Movement currently occupied by his boss, President Salva Kiir Mayardit.

Since Machar declared his interest for the presidency come general election slated for 2015, he has upped on his criticism of Kiir’s reign. He has cited corruption, tribalism, and poor international relations as failures of President Kiir’s leadership and has challenged the President to step down for him.

It is against this backdrop that rumour has been swirling that President Kiir may show his defiant deputy and rival the exit door. If such a move is to happen, President Kiir will require the two-thirds majority members of National Legislative Assembly as per the requirement of National Transitional Constitution of South Sudan. If the president takes this line, he must be prepared to satisfactorily convince lawmakers why he would want to sack his deputy. Moreover, the Republic of South Sudan is already mired in polarized ethnic tensions and tribalism. To sack Dr. Machar would exacerbate the already muddied relations of some rival communities in the country.

Politically, Dr. Riek Machar is playing his card very prudently. He is taking advantage of woes that South Sudan faces and has faced since gaining independence two years ago as an opportunity to woo support of the masses.

Based on his political undertones, he projects himself as a reformist and pro-democracy when he states that his intention to run for presidency is healthy and should not cause any tension. This assertion could sound sweet in the ears of democracy promoting countries who are pushing for democratization of the world’s youngest nation. Therefore, if President Kiir sacks his deputy, it will be political suicide on his part because it will definitely alienate some of his friends in the West as they would see him as dictatorial.

Nevertheless, just as the timing of Machar’s declaration for presidency is significant for the interest of popularization of his agenda, it is equally risky in the same measure. The elections are still two years away. If the President does not sack him, he may isolate Machar politically by alienating him from his political backers. If allegations that former Governors of Lakes and Unity states were supporters of Machar’s presidency for 2015 are anything to go by, then it could be a strong indicator of the beginning of his political isolation. State Governors, County Commissioners, National Ministers and any other senior officials play an important role between presidential aspirant and masses or voters. Kiir could use the advantage of being the appointer and statehouse incumbent to get a firm grip in the grassroots. The early declaration by Machar will make him score poorly in this area. The rumor of Cabinet shuffle in the air could see pro-Machar Ministers kicked out and replaced with loyalists of President. Such a move will leave Machar more isolated and an insignificant vice-President. Out of frustration, it could leave him with no option but to resign his post voluntarily and become an active opposition outside of government.

The author is a freelance journalist and columnist based in Juba. He can be reached at mapuormalual@yahoo.com



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  • 23 July 2013 01:56, by Sundayw

    Nicely put piece of advice. RIEK has already decided to run for the office and that should be welcome. The president still has the field in his favor and can make things difficult for RIEk the weasel without relieving him of his post. RIEK can be controlled on the inside. Who knows what stunt he might pull if he is sacked. His in-laws in UK are pushing him to run. So let him run.

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    • 23 July 2013 07:31, by Dinka Nhialic

      Congratulations
      I like that, when will he be sack? Riek has nothing to do in the party since he used to accused the party that it loss the direction and popularity, he must be removes if so, that is the only good ways to success. SPLM/SPLA oyeeeeeeeeeeeeeee

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      • 23 July 2013 09:05, by Mi diit

        BUT the writer also forgot to analyse what will happen to incompetent Kiir in the party before 2015 because he has been removing powerful ministers and governors. He is shooting his own foot because they will remove him in the party before 2015 elections. His situation is now desperate after he was rejected by the army. The VP will make his life hard too.

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        • 23 July 2013 22:07, by panom lualbil

          MIDIIT what will happen b4 2015 is you and RIAK MACHAR will be chase on long astride toward GABELLA-Ethiopia or KHARTOUM Sudan where your president Omar Bashir lived.

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      • 24 July 2013 08:17, by Agutmajak

        Congratulations Mr. president Kiir, to remove the big bull in the cattle camp is very hard indeed,it is better to remove the bulls with more than 20 bulls.

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    • 23 July 2013 12:25, by Peacocktail

      Mapour,
      You have very clean brain, Indeed VP Machar had already destroy his ambition prematurely. Declaring Self interest in the country is not healthy.VP need to works hard with President to met the people expectation instead of loitoring and accusig the House mate of not performing. All Ministers, Cabinets and Commissions reports to VP. What did he do to make thing works? Possible Riek lost.

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  • 23 July 2013 03:29, by Kim Deng

    And finally, Mr. Slava might cancel National Convent and elections altogether, which means the ball seems to be in Dr. Riek’s Court and his disciples.

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    • 23 July 2013 03:53, by Gat Gan Kiir

      Kim Deng, I have heard that the party supreme organ known as Polite-Bureo have schedule a meeting to impeach the chairman. Wait for news break the dictator must go by all mean.

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      • 23 July 2013 07:39, by Dinka Nhialic

        @ Gat Gan
        That is totally and unacceptable one that i have never heard so since i have been in this world, who have power to impeach? SPLM/SPLA political bureau have no power to impeach, it is not here in Africa and the whole world. Shame on u Gat, covered urself with lies will not do any things to us here Kiir Mayardit will lead up to 2020 than we give the power to Dr Riek or Dr Majok Agot Atem.

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        • 2 August 2013 04:44, by Thongdit

          Sacking VP does’t mean it is the end of Riek’s leadership, when you look at the powers of the head of government globally, they do have powers to fire anyone who is critising the government in which he/she is employee. Mr VP would have resign early on since he though the government of the ruling party SPLM lost dirrection. Riek should wait patiently for his turn and i hope he will be doing that

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      • 23 July 2013 07:52, by Deng M. Nyang

        Gat
        South Sudan is governed by the constitution, please read it there is no article that gives power to Political Bureau to impeach the President, educate yourself.
        I agreed with Malual the President should not sack his Vice but must sack all his supporters from the government. This will leave Dr. Riak without supporters, then it is up to him to decide either to resign or reconcile with his BOSS

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        • 23 July 2013 12:28, by Gat Gan Kiir

          Nhialaac and Deng something, if your coward president violate the constitutions he was signed by his own hand what do you things could happen to other side of the coins? Kiir in now in the hot seat than ever, advice him to go home early before thing get hottest

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          • 23 July 2013 14:54, by Deng M. Nyang

            Gat
            Please go back to school, your English is very poor. My judgments for your comments is that you are a tribal person
            who has nothing to contribute to the building of this nation. you go to cattle camp and deal with animals, I think that is a better place for you.

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          • 23 July 2013 15:27, by Luethee Ngong Anyoun

            I agree with President if he decided to remove his vice President by decree then there is no problem becuase what happen if you undermine your boss and accused him that he failed that party to achieve its vision and objectives and missions it means your vice is not faithfull to you and your orders one time can plan a coup and you are removed, deal with him now don,t wait hot time .

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  • 23 July 2013 04:12, by Akol Liai Mager

    SPLM was a Political Movement that has accommodated people with different idiologies in its ranks for the purposses of liberation. Its reforms after the CPA and Post-Independence weren’t just enough to make it a viable Political Party. Becuase of this, I expect that if things go worse in the Presidency, a Political split of the SPLM is likely to be a solution for this power Struggle we are seeing.

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    • 23 July 2013 04:23, by Akol Liai Mager

      So, I wouldn’t worry if Dr Machar could break this deadlock by taking a unilateral declarations of his resignation in the SPLM and form a brand new political Party to compete in 2015 General Elections for Parliamentary & Presidency. This would safe our country from a slip into yet another civil war. Our Country needs a strong Opposition Party of course, not NIF-DC.

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  • 23 July 2013 04:56, by wang

    It was nice piece of writing with all the relevant points Mapuor. M. Manguen …Kiir will give it a shot to remove Dr. Riek from his position and would probably jail him using his power without a 2/3 party voting…then the Dr. Riek supporters that will be mostly likely non-Dinka with acceptation of Dinka-Bor that are currently treating by Bahr el Ghazalians leading government even away worse than tho

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  • 23 July 2013 04:57, by wang

    then the Dr. Riek supporters that will be mostly likely non-Dinka with acceptation of Dinka-Bor that are currently treating by Bahr el Ghazalians leading government even away worse than those of non-Dinka would take arms and may try to remove insufficient President by force…Kiir has to be very sensitive on any move he may makes on Dr.Riek…

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    • 23 July 2013 07:54, by Michael Angelo

      Wang,
      what if president Kiir sack Dr. Machar and appoint another Nuer instead? Will there be still a problem or Nuers just want to see Ngundeng prophesy being fulfilled by Dr. Machar? Those who think that Machar will do better than Kiir if he takes over are dead wrong.

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      • 23 July 2013 08:00, by Sundayw

        YES, I think the president has already decided to appoint a very popular Nuer to replace RIEK the WEASEL. Now, it is just a matter of making RIEK quit. That will be done over the next few months. RIEK is in a box.

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      • 23 July 2013 08:01, by Sundayw

        YES, I think the president has already decided to appoint a very popular Nuer to replace RIEK the WEASEL. Now, it is just a matter of making RIEK quit. That will be done over the next few months. RIEK is in a box.

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    • 23 July 2013 22:20, by panom lualbil

      CEITH MACHAR always with greediness of leadership, he was not supposed to open lion’ eyes while sleeping and keeps his position since he lost vision. Wrong action wont worth it.

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  • 23 July 2013 08:07, by Mokili Lorumba

    Fellow Southerners my advice to Dr. Nyagat Machar is better for him to resign than for him waiting to be sacked shamelessly. because his hidden agenda is no longer a secret, let him resign and form his own party

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    • 23 July 2013 09:25, by Peter Mading

      Some opinions writers maybe misleading. There is no where on earth where the vice President can oppose the president within their tenure. I saw it from Riek and pretend that it is "healthy and Democratic" . I doubt the logic of such a politician. I think such political leader is dangerous as it can be referred back to his former equation of 1991.

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      • 23 July 2013 11:06, by Mi diit

        Peter Mading,
        Because you come from a primitive and dictatorial society that is why you think it is strange. It happens every where in the world. Even in South Sudan Africa it happened in the ANC that Thabo Mbeki was removed from ANC chair by his colleague who is now president Zuma. It is a democratic exercise. But for you is NEW! What a primitive society!!!

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        • 23 July 2013 11:08, by Mi diit

          Peter Mading,
          Because you come from a primitive and dictatorial society that is why you think it is strange. It happens every where in the world. Even in South Africa it happened in the ANC that Thabo Mbeki was removed from ANC chair by his colleague who is now president Zuma. It is a democratic exercise. But for you is NEW! What a primitive society!!!

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          • 23 July 2013 12:11, by Peter Mading

            Yes I do not pretend though my biography is equated from Primitive society which I believe your ancestors did not contribute to civilization or art of read and write. And because of your answer you are over primitive society not me anymore. I prove to be from a civilized society where political business of the world does not look like Riek/Destruction/Death.

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            • 23 July 2013 12:21, by Peter Mading

              Mi diit (code),
              IF Riek could have formed his own party as a starting point could be the better. Riek formed South Sudan Independent Movement in 1991 and I don’t know the reasons why the SSIM ceased to be called. I believed it became a weak fishing net and never caught any fish. Now SPLM is a strong net that never tear and wear. Let Kir die first so that he merit the seat or let him form his party

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          • 23 July 2013 22:34, by panom lualbil

            Is there any primitive SOCIETY in this planet other than NAATH? Crack it on and you’ll flee into KHARTOUM like usual and fed yourselves left-over-foods from Arabs at dumpsters like VULTURES fed themselves from people’s ass that who NUER are.

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        • 24 July 2013 17:41, by Kenyang

          Mi diit,
          I think you didn’t understand well on what happened btw Mbeki and Zuma. Zuma was removed from VP b4 coming back as good opponent and wrestled party chairmanship from Mbeki. Mbeki decided to resigned from Presidency and while Zuma went on to win presidency. So there’s no similarity and if any, Dr. Riek is now free to contest any post instead usual insults of govt he ran for last 10 yrs.

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  • 23 July 2013 16:19, by Kim Deng

    Dr. Riek decided to reform the SPLM as a political party within, but his enemy want him to quit/kick out and form another political party. To their surprise, Dr. Riek will never do that because he is the King of the Jungle and not coward like Dr. Lam Akol. Yes, you think V.P post is always for Nuer and as thus, Dr. Riek should be replaced with other Nuer. You’re very wrong my friends.

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  • 23 July 2013 16:26, by Kim Deng

    Jaang/Slaves,
    I don’t think your coward King, Mr. Slava is not stupid enough and be attempted to do such a suicidal act to remove/sack King of the Jungle (Dr. Riek Machar Teny-
    Dhurgon) from that Jungle. If he does, which I doubt, that will be the end of Jaang/Slaves Kingdom.

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    • 23 July 2013 22:49, by panom lualbil

      Kim DEng
      Yeah NAATH are slaves that is why the president violated the rule of laws and sack RIAK MACHAR neither of 2/3 votes nothing. And even if you run to KHARTOUM, you’ll be used to suck dicks and kiss ass for Arabs. This is how you NUER can lived lives bcoz you’re animals.

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  • 23 July 2013 16:32, by Kim Deng

    The Nuer (the only threat to Dinka Kingdom in the South) patience for their unquestionable love to the mother land (South Sudan) gave Dinka all the opportunity they needed to loot the Revenues of the country to ZERO.

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  • 23 July 2013 19:50, by Kim Deng

    Naath/Nuer,
    It’s up to you (Naath/Nuer) to accept submission to coward Jaang/Salves who used to be enslaved by Mighty Nuer Warriors in 1800s. The coward Jaang/Slaves have been trying all necessary means to reverse the Nuer History through SPLA, which is composed of all ethnic groups.

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  • 23 July 2013 20:52, by Nyanchol Ajak

    Mapuor
    Nice piece of analyses. I believe Machar is a liability to the government and not an asset as he is not neither backing the president nor helping the government to bring peace and stability in the country among other things. He only recently talking about reconciliation in a bid to smooth his own way to presidency. This suggests that his non-action policy all the way is to undermine Kiir

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  • 23 July 2013 21:13, by Nyanchol Ajak

    The bottom line is that the issue at stake is not about Kiir or Machar is about the welfare of the people of the country. It should not be about Dinka or Nuer either and people should be careful when referring to the relationship between Kiir and Machar. South Sudan does not consist of those two tribes only. Let Machar go if he can’t help peddling let him get off the boat.

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  • 24 July 2013 06:01, by nakong peter anna

    I have notted with sadness how bitter and angry most of the comments are. We don’t have to carry individual anguish to public place. We surely can bring up suggestions that build the nation other than tribalistic sulking comments.

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  • 24 July 2013 07:32, by Andrew Ojok

    We are not worried about governors or national ministers suckers what we worried is about SPLM party to be reform against because PAGAN lost his mind and inciting people under SPLM leaders to make leader a weak for the position and I just want to let you know supporter Pagan or RIAK we are die for KIIR he’s always with us since in the bush not you all scary ass westerners citizen come back today c

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  • 24 July 2013 10:44, by Santino Nuan

    There should be no negative reaction as such after hearing the news of sacking of VP. Dr Machar. Mahcar has already decided to challenge Kiir in the upcoming SPLM convention when the party will elect someone to represent the party in the up-coming country’s general elections comes 2015. The two bridegrooms cannot sleep in one room before the girl decides who is the best choice. SPLM will choose!

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  • 24 July 2013 11:42, by Gangura

    Fucking Mother Kirr is just a confused leader and I abelive we Equatorians wil not vote him again, he is just coorpt president soon all the power he is misusing well be taken from him. mother fucker kirr

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