tchad
Deby must also face an opposition armed in the East. This one is extremely heteroclite, it must moreover face the pressures of Sudan. This country chose in Mahamat Nour, a champion who is very far from achieving the unanimity. The capacities of command of Nour are blamed by all the professionals. Its troops are heavily equipped but they are unable to use the material which is between their hands.
In a country where the family bonds are essential much of members of the Tama ethnic group openly reproach Nour for having made imprison by the Sudaneses Mahamat Abbo Sileck, his own first cousin in order to break the ANR and to take control of it.
The problem for Nour is that many remains obstinately faithful to Sileck the more so as Nour, being forgotten in a violent diatribe, threatened of died his/her uncle, the sultan of Guérèda.
The opponents of the East try with difficulty to make their unit. Khartoum brings together in this moment all the opponents whom it can in order to set up a coalition anti Deby.
Badly advised, Nour has just proclaimed President of the FUC (those which speak English will appreciate!). There however exists only by the will of Khartoum relayed well by Deby which found there a driving bolt perfect.
The rebels of the East require too for Sudan for obvious reasons of logistics, it is not impossible that they agree to give to Nour the transitory title of large Mamamouchi. However Khartoum would show realism by slackening Sileck, certainly less flexible but more credible as chief of the rebellion in the East.
Because the road towards Djaména does not pass by the catch of Adré. However the city will not be taken by the troops of Nour, they are unable.
It is of Goranes which defends Adré. These troops are strongly armed and they are truths soldiers. Adré cannot be taken militarily by the rebellious coalition of the East in its state present, but it can fall if it is not defended.
The negotiations which are in hand and where the ANR has all its place, between the rebels as well in the East as in North, catch or not of Adré and more or less fast end of the mode will decide.
In all the cases of figure, the release and the presence with the face of Mahamat Abbo Sileck will be determining.