Home | Comment & Analysis    Sunday 4 April 2010

Best decision from best men!


By Isaiah Abraham

April 3, 2010 — The decision to pull out Mr. Yasir Saeed Arman in the contest for Presidency from the SPLM ticket is wise and was indeed made in heaven. The decision came as of no surprise to many but caught others including Mr. Arman election team by a big surprise. It was a plumb decision that deserves a huge pat to the SPLM Political Bureau! Who else would doubt that the SPLM is a party to beat and have the interest of her people at heart? The people of Southern Sudan should now rest assured in the safe hands of His Excellency Lt. General Salva Kiir Mayardit and The big Vice President Dr. Riek Machar Teny.

Call it a betrayal, atrocious, apostasy, scam and what have you, but am pretty sure that this is required of a leadership, to be extraordinary and preemptive in its vision. In the first place, Arman nomination was damn odd. We still in partnership and Al Bashir isn’t that bad. Mr. Arman, our people sniff a rat in the opposition ritzy issues in the election that was roughen in the boycott threats. Sir, we love you, only that you are a lone ranger there! It is not about you but about us after you.

Allow me to put myself in the SPLM shoes for the sake of this particular argument. Let’s start from somewhere: what issues are we talking about that the opposition want done to make this election credible? In another word, why is opposition so serious about changes before election? To those in the know, like you, the issues aren’t fresh; we know that security and the media laws are two contentious issues the opposition thought the NCP has an advantage. Rigging was another one. The opposition could be right. But am a hearing a tone outside that box, something the SPLM saw it and put it to a halt through this decision on Arman.

The Northern Opposition, to be specific, aren’t only asking for postponement of the elections because of the above issues, but the fact that the opposition ventured into issues in the Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA) raises a concern as to what that mean to the constituency the SPLM represents. So, where did I get this from? It was right from the mouth of the opposition leaders in their press conferences. It sounds familiar with that of the Darfur rebels, Doha and Cairo leaders. Darfur must be part of the election. To this author that was just political buccaneering as far Southern Sudan is concerned; and therefore not acceptable while we have breaths. We have said it a million times that please, don’t link the two cases (Darfur and the South), whether in our skins or in our African heritage; we are different nations!

There is another easy side to tell (mere analysis from this decision. The SPLM last minute pull out of Arman has some critical if not important highlights for the Sudanese. The marriage between the SPLM and other Northern Opposition Groupings (Juba All Parties Conference Members) was done in bad faith. The Northern Opposition Groups want to use the SPLM for their personal goals. The SPLM thought the Northern Opposition parties would stick to the book and allow the CPA provisions to go ahead in their natural courses- election to go ahead and the referendum. The other side curse is the referendum, and the best option for them is to remove President Al Bashir. If not why do you insist on pushing behind election in April, what month behind it can accommodate logistical difficulties if not November and December.

Second, the SPLM has demonstrated it commitment to listen to its constituency more through practice. That means that the SPLM can’t ignore the voice that called for continuation of the partnership with the NCP for the survival of the CPA. President Al Bashir might not be popular in the Sudan or the South and in fact any Northerner or an Arab for that matter can’t be trusted by Southerners, yet this man called Al Bashir has redeemed himself through courage to wade through his own opposition onslaught, when he had wanted to sign the CPA. What else do you need from anyone if he gives you freedom?

Third, the SPLM in its initials has made clear that democracy can wait- an election is not its priority- but that position was overtaken by the fact that referendum ought to be supervised by an elected government. I don’t know whether that was applied in Eritrean’s case. Besides, pushing election behind will only mean postponement of problems. Our political and economic interests demand that we don’t push election behind. Forth, the SPLM decision shouldn’t be seen as speculative or opportunistic rather a political ‘rebate’ or sacrifice to protect the implementation of the CPA from opportunists. It is time to move on quickly and put behind this election.

This is why SPLM would always be ahead of others. This is a team that will deliver. Our people should reward SPLM for its sacrifices on our behalf. This election is our time to vote SPLM back to power, with our huge turn out. They have brought us a long way, and we must think of what to do to them about us. They listen and with time we shall be proud of what we together achieve through them. May God continue to guide our leaders!

SPLM should now think about Arman as a person; his voice never changes after that fateful press conference under the Vice President (Dr. Machar). I have observed him and his body language never betrayed him, and hence a man to watch. I would love to see him in the next government and even that of our own independent state. He should in our new independent government Millions of Congratulations to leaders at Political Bureau, may you continue to make such decisions in the future for the sake of our people. Long live SPLM/A, Mr. Mayardit/Machar Oyee. Mr. Amum, why are you mum?

Isaiah Abraham lives in Juba; he can be reached at Isaiah_abraham@yahoo.co.uk

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  • 4 April 2010 05:34, by Dinka Boy

    ISaiah Abraham,

    Politics is a dangerous game. In politics, people or politicians without further analysis are the one who fall to the dirty side ,while those who have clear illustration of ideas fell to the apparent side of it. SPLM is suffering from power greed,and it will be very clear soon. There is no lucidity reasons why SPLM withdraw Yassir Arman so that we SPLa can understand.

    In fact, i doubt whether South Sudan will be in condusive enviroment if our politicians think this way. Mr Abraham I can,t conprehend your arhuments because it seems that your mumbling about the previous method of choosing Arman. Whom to you want to be elect while both Rik Machar and Salva kiir resfuse to contest for the Sudan presidency?. Please it was the right decision,but sleep under sleeping leaders withdraw Arman at the last minutes. It’s hazardous game that i can not agree with SPLM leaders.

    My friend, SPLM made a wrong decison to withdraw Yasir Arman at the last minutes. We SPLM who disagree with this decision are having more questions that you and those of Riek Machar fail to understand. If we South Sudanese are aiming for referendum,then why not we can conduct this election,and latter just wait for the result. If Arman win the election then it’s what we have been yearning for because he will not interfere with referendum,the most vital issues of South Sudanese.

    In contrast, if Bashier win the election then why are we care much about his ICC as the essential precedure that can help or hand referendum to the South Sudanese. It seems that we South Sudanese are confuse base on these issues because 2011 without 2010 election mean nothing to the seperation of South,and this will escalate war more than you guys think of.

    Why are we worried about Bashier ICC while we are hopping for the separation of the country after 2011. If NCP steal the elections,then the withdrwal of SPLM candidate won’t and cann’t solve our issues because this CPA is not something that we can easily torn apart by ourselves, never!. In deed, we South Sudanese need to perform April election so that we can immediately go to the referendum without delay.

    I don,t think whether SPLM made a right choice at all because most of them works in SPLM with hidden agenda that will destroy the South. We know there are desperate leaders in SPLM hungerily yearning for leadership,but if they want it that way,then South Sudan will be always ugly,mark that in your medulla.Now, the deal of SPLM and NCP is completely a poor decision making and that will be like the one of Addis Ababa.

    I don’t believed the deal of SPLM with NCP ,so that Bashier will win the election will exactly give South Sudan referendum. Are you crazy my dear? what are the cues that shows that Omer Bashier will help South to be separated. What are documents or the agrees that was made between SPLM and NCP so that we South Sudanese will be sure that we will give Bashier presidency for the independent of South Sudan.

    Are you/SPLM now not talking about the addis Ababa agreement again, or the unpredictable possibilities?.
    What are the evidences that will help the South when they withdraw Arman in the race? i never saw any positive said side,but i saw CPA violation.

    We South Sudanese need to understand that other people value time and money than we do. The international community and the other monitoring team who have devoted themselves for the election and referendum might and automatically misunderstood SPLM as a political party who have no critical thinking and effort of others. SPLM thinking contradicts the agreements that ressemble nation of South Sudan. It’s just a pre assumption and the baseless prediction of possibilities.

    Isaiah Abraham, please don,t count your chicken before they hatch because lots of them always died and others remain in the a broadening cage. We South Sudanese can not thought of giving Bashier presidency will help us for referendum because we have no evidences to support our thought. We can not trust other oppostions parties because they are the same people who fought the South.

    We can not agreed for Bashier’s deceptive game of seek-and hide, while we have someone (Arman) who will throw him to the carve. Bashier took power in 1989 by Coup and he can garbage referendum like the way he does think,and fight the South like before, i hate when our leaders are lead by traitors like this, riek Machar is a traitor who had sleep in various houses in Sudan,why SPLM make him fools them. That is redicules.

    Why Darfur issues bother South Sudanese as the major issues , who is sure that SPLM will make acoalition forces with Darfur and fought against Bashier?,None will help us if went think of seperation unless we SPLM need war. Please tell me what you know about politics then thinking about the deals. I know SPLM is political power struggling,but that will bring unexpected in the near future. Thanks

    • 4 April 2010 06:43, by Gatwech

      Professor Isaiah Abraham,

      Thank you for the lecture. There are those who will NEVER understand the wisdom behind the withdrawal and actually the quitting of Yasser Arman from the presidential race. Those are people who suffer from lack of strategic thinking.

      They will only appreciate the possitive end result of this wise action. Now they will argue that the so-called New Sudan is made dead after the quitting of Arman. And besides, Arman has convinced himself that he would NEVER win the elections eithe!

      Wow, New Sudan was done long time ago unless some people do not have the gift to analyze.

      Good decision by the visionary leaders of the new SPLM who row the boat to the safe shore. Independence of the South Oyeeeeeeeeeee.........

      • 4 April 2010 07:40, by Dinka Boy


        What do you mean about New Sudan?
        New Sudan vision is not dead as you think. New Sudan means South Sudan as a seperate nation. It’s obvious that your analogy always fail you because your narrow thinking that always frame every good ideas comtributed by SPLM as the contributor of traitor Riek Machar. My friend, New Sudan is farmost and no way that you will understand it while you was just born recently in 1990s. Do you think you will no the vision of new Sudan? no no.
        Please say Amen to Dr John Garang de Mabior and our heros who understand the vision of New Sudan. New Sudan means the oil revenue you are getting now. New Sudan means the CPA that will grant the South Destine in the near future. New Sudan means the freedom of speeches, expression, and the chance of getting better education in your respected residency. New Sudan means not to be the second class citizen in his own Country. New Sudan means the formation of Goverment of South Sudan. New Sudan means living without being bomb in your villages. New Sudan means living happily in your residency without intemidation. New Sudan means a lot dear. the only Nuer who can understand the vision of New Sudan are CDR William Nyuon Bany, James Hoth, and Taban Deng ,but the rest of Nuer are bunches of SSIM whose their interest is to get independent from SPLM/Dinka. No more than that mr born empty and will die empty mr son of primitive. Who is your educator in the Goss: only familiy of traitor Riek Machar,but i don,t know where will you go if they disapear in this soil. Good luck giving Dr John Garang Award to traitor,the announcement will prevail latter.

        • 4 April 2010 13:21, by Gatwech

          Dinka Boy,

          Your primitive insults always tell readers that you fail to logically argue with your superior debaters like myself.

          New Sudan is not South Sudan according to John Garang. Don’t flip-flop between ideologists. And besides, South Sudan is not new to be called New Sudan. It has been there since time immomerial in different names.

          All the principles you listed as New Sudan are not new either. Garang copied most of them from Dr. Riek Machar especially after 1991 split. They are not new, dude.

          Yes, you suffer from strategic thinking. You may understand what you want but you don’t know how to get it.

          The so-called New Sudan is dead! You lie that new Sudan is against being second class citizen while Garang himself accepted to be second class citizen as vice president to Bashir. Abel Alier was second class citizen to Nimeiri. George Kongor was second class citizen to Bashir. Moses Machar was second class citizen to Bashir. And Salvatore is second class citizen to Bashir. And the SPLM wanted another northern, Yasser Arman, to be president of Sudan so that salva Kiir can remain the second class citizen to Yasser Arman. Look at the stupidity of the so-called New Sudan!!!

          Thanks God that it is now confirmed dead!!!!

  • 4 April 2010 08:02, by Dinka Boy

    Why NCP requested the withdrawal of Yasir Arman since he was elected and at the last minute it was accepted by SPLM.? Somthing is fishy here!

    • 4 April 2010 13:24, by Gatwech

      And you better accept the smell and taste of this particular fish, dude!

  • 4 April 2010 08:14, by kuminyandi

    Mr.Isaiah Abraham, Do you agree that this SPLM decision is made out of fear? Just wait, you’ll see new revealations that will stunt you sooner or later.


    • 4 April 2010 13:00, by Gatwech


      Even if the decision was made out of fear in order to SAVE something DEAR to us, then be it!

      It was the fear for war that brought peace (CPA). Elections is not important to southerners, but referendum is the most important. Choose wisely.

      • 4 April 2010 16:56, by kuminyandi


        If the decision was based on fear as you confessed it, then where is our dignity as a Southerners here? Where’s the SPLM strategy? And what gurantee that Albashir is going to GRANT you the referendum since he knows that you’re fearing returning to war?

        I know the current SPLM leadership presented us as a weak nation since the death of it founder. Salva repeatedly decalred that Southerners are not going to war again. He said it many and many times over the course of his administration. And that my DEAR made us a weak nation that can be easily ran over by NCP. Obviously, Albashir found out those weaknesses and used them wisely against SPLM.

        Gatwech, I have three words for you to think of. Dignity, DIGNITY, and Dignity. If you are not sure about these words, see the experiences of USA in Vietnam, and White regimes in South Africa. The latter got what they wanted by preserving their dignity.


        • 5 April 2010 01:30, by Dinka Boy

          kuminyandi ,

          Great brother. You asked great question to Gatwech,in which he will just murmur around like small girl fearing her mother.

          Truely, Why NCP demand the withdrawal of Yasir Arman since he was elected as SPLM presidential candidate and now at the last minutes SPLM withdraw him in the race. There is a big question here. This traitor Riek Machar keep flipping because he has hide and seek gimmicks in SPLM. He was definitely bribed by Bashier during his negotiation period and that was the reason Machar talk negatively to Arman when he announced his withdrawal in the race.

          Thanks again bro, let keep away from this primitive Gatwech because he has no critical thinking that can help him analyzed things.

          • 5 April 2010 05:45, by Oracle

            Simple answer to all this surprise by the zombies. Arman and the other opposition parties will gain enough votes to force a run off between Bashir and Arman. Arman will have support from the opposition and he would win. The Army will not just sit and let this happen. They will interfere before we can even blink, and it will be back to chaos. Dou you want that? or do you want things to go smoothly? Its time people think outside the box, instead of being braindead zombies.

          • 5 April 2010 06:16, by kuminyandi

            Thanks very much Brother Dinka Boy, I know Gatwech and his cliques are nothing, but a bunch of racist who don’t have a directions. Brother, if you can check the article of Brother Manyok Biar’s titled "Sudan’s election crisis and 2011 Referendum". I commented on one of Gatwech article, and I wrote you too a little piece of encouragement words. So please check it out.


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